Rural India Drives FMCG Growth, Urban Demand Set to Bounce Back Soon
November 20, 2025
The big story in India’s fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) sector is rural India’s powerful push. For seven quarters in a row, rural buyers have kept the FMCG engine roaring ahead, leaving cities trailing behind. NielsenIQ’s latest figures show rural volume grew a bright 5.7% in the September quarter, while urban markets inched up only 1.9%. This gap is getting smaller but rural India still shines as the stronghold for FMCG companies.
Overall FMCG value grew 12.9%, helped by price hikes and a steady boom in smaller towns. Food and personal care products grew 5.4%, and modern trade shops bounced back with 4.2% growth. Small manufacturers popped up quickly, and sales improved as GST-linked problems eased for big brands like HUL, Dabur, and Godrej.
Urban demand has taken a slow but steady path to recovery. Rough patches such as higher interest rates, slower job growth, and cautious wage rises hurt city spending. Meanwhile, rural demand stayed healthy, fuelled by good crop output and rising farm incomes. Rural markets, mostly small package buyers focused on affordability, make up about 38% of FMCG demand.
Morgan Stanley’s new report sparks hope for urban buyers. It says relaxed RBI policies from 2025—lower interest rates and easier loan conditions—are ready to fire up urban spending. After big rate cuts, cheaper loans are encouraging more retail borrowing. Plus, the government’s recent tax cuts, saving Rs1 trillion for families, along with GST rate adjustments, are set to add fuel to the middle class’s buying power.
Inflation cooling down is another blessing. As prices ease, both rural and urban wages stretch longer, boosting real income and making Indian consumers happier shoppers.
Job news from cities is brightening too. The Naukri Job Index, a sign of formal sector hiring, jumped 3.7% year-on-year in 2025, a full turnaround from the previous year. Public job programs returning to normal also hint at better employment opportunities.
On the horizon is the 8th Central Pay Commission’s wage hike for over 4.7 million government employees and 6 million pensioners, expected to kick in from January 2026. This pay boost could supercharge spending once payments begin.
Meanwhile, rural India enjoys a bumper crop year with record summer and winter harvests of 354 million tonnes, up 6.5%. Good rains and healthy soil are promising strong crops in 2025 too. Better rural wages and trade conditions are helping farmers spend more, keeping rural demand rock solid.
The RBI’s Rural Consumer Confidence Survey agrees: farmers feel more optimistic about jobs, incomes, and inflation. With a festive and wedding season in full swing, urban demand is finally stirring. The tale of two Indias—the rural powerhouse and the urban revival—is shaping up to a thrilling growth story for FMCG. Hold tight, as the double engine of India’s consumption market may roar together very soon!
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Tags:
Fmcg
Rural Consumption
Urban Demand
Morgan Stanley Report
India economy
Agriculture Incomes
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